Will the US still outsource Ukraine so it can pivot East?

European 'peacekeepers' in Ukraine as a steppingstone for a European Army?

A bit of a longer article this time, so I’ve broken it up into 5 parts;

1. Zelenskyy’s future/usefulness to NATO?

2. Is a peace settlement in Ukraine actually desired?

3. Russia’s incentives to sign any deal with the West?

4. A closer look at the European Trump ‘peace’ deal

5. The European Army

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1. Zelenskyy’s future/usefulness to NATO?

Of course by now we all have seen the infamous press conference shouting match in the Oval Office between Donald Trump, JD Vance and Volodymyr Zelenskyy, but what could be the larger implications?

First of all, some people argue that this was all ‘a brilliant 3D chess move’ from Trump and Vance in order to ‘lure Zelenskyy in a trap,’ but I doubt this. When you watch the whole press conference, it was all fairly normal up until the last 10 minutes or so. Furthermore, it wasn’t really Trump and Vance that escalated things. It was Zelenskyy’s persistent whining that pushed Trump and Vance into reacting. If Zelenskyy would have toned down his answers a little bit, the press conference would probably have ended in a normal fashion.

I already wrote about how the US might want to outsource Ukraine to Europe here:

Agenda 2030 and the long-term US plan Global Hegemony?

and more recently here:

How suddenly 'Ukraine is Europe's fault and problem.'

However, IF (!) I’m correct, and Trump does not really want peace for Ukraine but instead merely wants to outsource the Ukrainian Project to the Europeans, then Trump suddenly has a big problem since last Friday.

Just like the school yard bully who got humiliated by one kid who (rightly or foolishly) has had enough of the bullying, all eyes are now on Trump to see if and how he will react.

“It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal.” - Henry Kissinger

So is Zelenskyy now in the US’ dreaded “friend zone?”

Zelenskyy already sort of mumbled a little ‘apology’ while doing a group hug with the Europeans, but meanwhile Trump has decided to freeze all arms deliveries to Ukraine. So far, my little thesis is still playing out.

If Trump sincerely wants peace in Ukraine, he will inevitably have to come to the conclusion that Zelenskyy is a major obstacle and that he will have to be removed one way or the other.

However, if the objective is to outsource Project Ukraine to the Europeans, then Zelenskyy will need to be kept in place for the following reasons;

• severe political instability in Ukraine will reflect very negatively on the Western population who have continuously been fed a “Ukrainian & Western democratic values” narrative.

• due to a massive propaganda campaign, Western media have created a personality cult around Zelenskyy, and he has been elevated to a contemporary ‘Winston Churchill-like’ figure.

• the political alternatives (Petro Poroshenko, Yulia Tymoshenko, Valeri Zaluzhnyy) will probably be a difficult ‘sell’ to the Western audience, basically requiring the whole Western propaganda/personality cult campaign to start from scratch.

The only mildly ‘positive’ thing about removing Zelenskyy (especially through an assassination or a coup) will be that this then could be framed by Western media as another “the-Russians-were-behind-it,” and thus providing more public support for Project Ukraine in the West. Yet, at the same time this will make it more difficult for Trump to disengage from Project Ukraine.

Therefore, I would speculate that it’s in almost everybody’s interest that Zelenskyy stays;

• the Russians are probably not against having an emotionally unstable comedian (and presumed cocaine addict?) acting as president in Ukraine

• thanks to a massive 3-year long propaganda campaign, both the European public and the European political elites absolutely love Zelenskyy

• in the US, most Democrat voters also love Zelenskyy, and while most Trump voters are probably very skeptical of Zelenskyy, for the Trump 2.0 Admin he will be necessary and useful in making sure that peace does not break out in Ukraine.

If Zelenskyy is somehow forcefully removed, then my thesis goes out the window. 😃

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2. Is a peace settlement in Ukraine actually desired?

Now let’s examine on the most important question: is peace in Ukraine actually desired at this point?

What do the major players in this conflict want?

Let’s start with Ukraine itself;

• As we saw during last Friday’s press conference, Zelenskyy is someone who is deeply ideologically obsessed with continuing the conflict, and which is probably a major reason why Zenelskyy (as Ihor Kolomoiskyy’s puppet) was allowed to win the elections in 2019. Zelenskyy is a ‘one-trick-pony’ and the only things he can do is to beg for more money and more weapons so he can continue the proxy war against Russia.

• As for the Ukrainian people, the best I can assess is that they are split. After 3 years of war, seeing many people die, constant bombardments, frequent electricity outages, and destroyed relations with Russia (this also counts for Ukrainians with relatives in Russia), many Ukrainians are probably fed up with the conflict, but let’s not forget that there is also an ideologically hardcore of pro-Bandera pro-NATO Ukrainians that want to continue fighting until the last man.

Now the Russians;

• A big part of the Russian political leadership probably wants to normalise relations with the West, however most will also know by now that this will not be possible so long as there is a ‘Sword of Damocles’ of continued NATO expansion hanging over their heads. Even IF the Ukrainian conflict will get resolved before Easter 2025, there are still plenty of geopolitical tension areas between NATO and Russia where another ‘Project Ukraine’ might easily be repeated, like Georgia, Armenia, Kazakstan, and Azerbaijan, or perhaps some False Flag event in the Baltic Sea.

• As for the Russian population, it appears to me that most are either neutral or supportive of the Special Military Operation (SMO). Although some express some level of ambivalence when talking in private, most people seem to go along with it. Similar to Ukrainian families with Russian relatives, many Russian families are also divided, and these wounds will take a long time to heal.

The Europeans;

• It’s beyond a shadow of a doubt that most European political elites love the proxy war against Russia and worship Zelenskyy. Even tough some European opposition parties have suggested that they want to improve relations with Russia and claim that they want the fighting to stop, this does not automatically mean that they are unsympathetic towards Project Ukraine or NATO.

  Many recent elections in Europe have also assured that pro-war hawks will be in power: Germany (Friedrich Merz), the UK (Starmer), France (Macron), The Netherlands (Schoof). An interesting case is former ‘opposition leader’ Geert Wilders in staunch NATO ally The Netherlands. Before the 2024 general election he appeared very critical of NATO and the war in Ukraine, but after the election when his political party became a coalition partner, he quickly switched sides.

  In Romania we’ve witnessed how “pro-Russian” NATO-skeptical candidate Cālin Georgescu is being sabotaged to run again in the upcoming May national election after the Romanian Supreme Court nullified the previous election results. Interesting is how Georgescu is being framed as “far-right” and “championed by Vance and Musk,” yet the otherwise very vocal Trump 2.0 Admin is doing nothing to stop the witch-hunt of Georgescu. It’s almost as if Trump doesn’t want NATO-skeptics in any EU government, right? (meanwhile, the Trump 2.0 Admin was very eager to use it’s diplomatic muscles to get the Romanian travel ban lifted for the pimps-and-crypto-charlatan Tate brothers. 😉)

• As for the European population, they are once again completely brainwashed and the big majority believes all the propaganda. Let’s take a quick look at the European demographics

  a) anyone over ~ 50 years old still remembers the Cold War and is therefore very susceptible for anti-Russian (read: anti-Soviet) propaganda

  b) there is a relatively small group of people between ~ 20-50 years old that do not remember the Cold War and grew up during the Yeltsin and Putin era. They have also been propagandised by decades of anti-Russian sentiment.

  c) and then is are the group of people < 20 years old, who again have been conditioned by a Western ‘education’ system + media, and most will not be very sympathetic towards Russia. This is the copy-paste-iPhone Generation, from which the last remaining bit of critical and independent thinking has bene removed.

And last but not least, the United States;

• The US political elite is roughly divided between Republicans and Democrats. The Republicans wanting to end funding Project Ukraine, while the Democrats want to continue funding. However, as the years since the 2014 Maidan Revolution CIA Coup have shown, when it comes to the expansionist US Empire and Globalist Ideology, almost ALL US POLITICIANS (including Donald Trump!) seem to be on board with this.

• Like the US political elites, the US population is equally divided, although (because they would be the ones having to pay for it) the overall sentiment is probably more in favour of ending US involvement in Ukraine.

Of course there are also minor players in the Ukraine conflict, for example Türkiye, Israel, India, and China, who are all either directly or indirectly profiting from the conflict.

Deducting from the above, I would estimate that not many (including of course the major defence contractors whom I didn’t even mention) would be in favour of actually ending the war.

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3. Russia’s incentives to sign any deal with the West?

So why would Russia sign any deal with the West?

Of course nobody in Russia is a big fan of the Western sanctions which restrict trade and travel, effectively making it impossible for many Russian companies to export to Europe and the US, making it more difficult for Western consumer goods to enter the country, and also making it more cumbersome for Russians to travel abroad because their credit cards will not work in most Western countries.

Nevertheless, the Russians are a pragmatic people and;

• so far they found creative solutions around most of the sanctions.

• they started to realise that ‘the mask has dropped’ and that the West probably does not have their best interests in mind.

So in one way the Russians have stabilised the effects of the sanctions, and in the other way, the West has shown their true colours.

All in all, this will probably not motivate Russia to sign another Minsk Agreement, an agreement that will only buy Ukraine more time to rearm, and postpone the inevitable continuation of Western attempts to “weaken Russia” and push for regime change in Moscow.

The Russians probably know that they will have to push for a comprehensive agreement and a redivision of the Spheres of Influence similar to how Stalin, Churchill and Roosevelt divided the world at the Yalta Conference close to the end of World War 2.

However, for this to happen, ‘Washington,’ ‘London’ and ‘Brussels’ (= the EU) will need a couple of major wake up calls.

Russia probably knows that they will have to continue unless they want to join the US Empire as a junior partner another vassal, as was attempted when Boris Yeltsin was Russia’s president. If Russia is looking far enough into the future with the political situation of many neighbouring states in mind (Georgia, Armenia, Kazakstan, and Azerbaijan), Russia would need to have a long term objective of stopping continued NATO encroachment upon it’s borders.

By the way, here is a very good interview from

Rachel Blevins

with

Mark Sleboda

, which highlight many of the points I previously made:

Trump is the Only One Who Wants a Ceasefire. Russia Wants to Win This War –Mark Sleboda

A Yalta 2.0 Conference during which Russia and the United States will redivide the world into Spheres of Influence would dovetail into my previous article, more specifically point number 11:

This would again dovetail into Step 11 of my January 16th 2025 article below:

Agenda 2030 and the long-term US plan Global Hegemony?

11. At this stage, we’ve completely come full circle: from a Cold War 1.0 to a Cold War 2.0.

    a) Europe and the US will be economically and militarily aligned,

    b) a new Iron Curtain 2.0 will have been built between Europe and Russia, just a bit more to the east than last time

    c) Russia (as with the former Soviet Union) and China will be excluded from the New Western Economic System.

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4. A closer look at the European Trump ‘peace’ deal

So let’s a look at the so-called European Peace Deal that is on offer.

Doesn’t the Starmer-Macron-European ‘peace’ initiative for Ukraine look remarkably similar to the original (and totally ridiculous 🤡) Trump ‘peace’ initiative of freezing the conflict with NATO European peacekeepers ‘monitoring’ the peace, which I already mentioned in my November 15th 2024 post below?

Are all '3-D Chess' Pieces are lined up for the Trump II Disaster?

A quote from my article:

So fast forward to November 2024 and what we’ve seen so far from Team Trump regarding Ukraine is a totally clueless ‘Peace’ Plan, proposing an 800 mile buffer zone which will be guarded by…wait for it..British troops. The level of amateurism is off the scale and you really couldn't make this up: Britain, who together with the Baltic States, is one of the most Russophobic countries in the Western ‘alliance’ for Ukraine is supposed to guard the ceasefire? In return, Russia will get the lousy ‘guarantee’ that Ukraine will not join NATO for the next 20 years, and whether or not the xenophobic sanctions again Russia (cutting Russia off the SWIFT payment system, making it nearly impossible for Russian citizens to travel to Europe, freezing Russian foreign exchange reserves) will be ended is unknown.

So, despite the HYPE of the Sergey Lavrov and Marco Rubio meeting on the 18th February 2025 in Riyadh Saudi Arabia, basically we have barely progressed beyond a slightly souped-up version of the original Trump ‘peace’ plan, albeit cleverly camouflaged as a ‘Minerals Deal,’ whereby Zelenskyy insists on “American security guarantees” which is exactly what the Europeans also want for their ‘peace’ keeping forces.

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5. The European Army

One thing that most analysts out there seem to have either overlooked or forgotten is the longstanding European ambition for a European Army.

In the EU, for the last 2-3 decades every once in a while the topic of a “European Army” would pop up, but this idea was always quickly dismissed.

However, the current self-inflicted ‘crisis’ in Ukraine could provide the perfect excuse to relaunch another attempt at further integrating the European Union.

Perhaps they could even combine it with EuroBonds in order to pay for it.. 😉

Unsurprisingly, during the last few weeks many articles popped up from the traditional Deep State ‘think tanks’ making a case for a European Army:

Here is the Center for Strategic and International Studies on February 28th 2025: “Why it’s time to consider a European Army:”

And there is Politico on February 15th 2025, using a Ukrainian actor: “Zelenskyy: ‘The time has come’ for a European army.”

(This article is yet another illustration why Zelenskyy remains useful for the US Globalist Empire and their European NATO vassals. 😉)

And here is The Guardian on February 26th 2025: “The plan for a European army within Nato – archive, 1952.”

There are already plenty of albeit relatively small examples of creating multi-national European army units, the main problem of course being the language;

• Luxembourg and Belgium operating an Airbus A400M transport aircraft together.

• The Netherlands and Germany operating a joint 414 tank battalion with Leopard 2s.

• A Franco-German Brigade.

• Plenty more examples when you do a search for “EU Battlegroups” like for example on the official European Union’s page here.

• The Germans are building a new NATO Maritime Headquarters in Rostock in order to monitor the Baltic Sea. (most probably this violates the Two-Plus-Four Agreement governing the withdrawal of Soviet troops from, and prohibiting NATO troops operating on the territory of the former (East) German Democratic Republic)

Simultaneous to these renewed calls for a European Army we have seen a strong push to massively increase the ‘defence’ budgets of European NATO members.

1. Friedrich Merz, former BlackRock employee and the anticipated next German Chancellor, wants to spend a whopping €500 billion on defence.

2. Keir Starmer has also announced that the UK will drastically increase the UK’s defence spending.

3. French President Emmanuel Macron also vowed to increase French defence spending.

4. The first three countries are the biggest in economical terms, but the smaller countries have also announced similar plans, for example Belgium, The Netherlands, Greece (weren’t they nearly bankrupt 10 years ago? 😃), Poland, Italy, Romania, and Spain and Portugal.

You get the picture and once again it seems that any important historical lessons are being ignored and caution is thrown into the wind.

Germany’s rearmament ambitions are ‘problematic’ to say the least, especially considering the fact that they already started two separate (yet related) world wars.

Here is EU President of the Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, together with Volodymyr Zelenskyy announcing the future €800 billion defence funding plans:

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Summarising;

1. Ukraine is still governed by Zelenskyy and his gang of Bandera fanatics who do not want any peace,

2. Trump is still the same two-faced liar and charlatan he was during his first term in office: talking loudly about peace whilst silently following the Deep State’s US Empire’s expansionist agenda,

3. the Europeans are still loyal US-NATO vassals, willing to do the American bidding in Ukraine, whilst simultaneously using the opportunity to push for a European Army,

4. the ‘new’ Starmer-Macron ‘peace’ deal is essentially a revamped Trump peace initiative with NATO European ‘peacekeeper’ troops, which is highly unlikely to be accepted by Russia,

5. German rearming is scary to say the least...

6. the Russians, having woken up to the true Western agenda, have a tough decision to make: either sign a half-baked ‘peace’ deal (‘Minsk 3’) in order to lift the sanctions and get on with life but with the risk that Ukraine will be rearmed again and that the conflict will reignite in a few years, or keep on fighting.

I hope to be proven wrong but unless something drastically changes I am highly doubtful that a real peace will break out in Ukraine. Time will tell, but (similar to Trump’s cynical Gaza Riviera peace real estate deal) in the big scheme of things, I remain very skeptical of Trump and his ‘peace’ initiatives.

I’m just an amateur in Moscow, so I’m always eager to fond out in the comments below what your opinion is! 👍🏻

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